The Business Experiment Budget Allocator

 Build an experiment planning platform that helps businesses decide how to distribute a limited budget across competing growth ideas.

Allow users to submit experiments with a hypothesis, target audience, expected cost, duration, primary metric, baseline performance, minimum meaningful improvement, and operational constraints.

Evaluate experiments for strategic relevance, implementation effort, information value, downside risk, and dependency on other initiatives. Create alternative portfolio plans for cautious, balanced, and aggressive approaches.

Simulate possible outcomes using explicit assumptions and show how the ranking changes when costs, conversion rates, or success probabilities change. Include a mechanism for reserving budget for unexpected opportunities rather than committing everything in advance.

Track actual results against forecasts and preserve failed experiments as useful evidence. Avoid false precision in probabilities and ROI estimates. Distinguish experiments that maximize immediate gains from those designed primarily to reduce uncertainty.

Generate an experiment backlog, budget allocation worksheet, and post-experiment learning report.